Leadership crisis in INDIA alliance and politics of 2029: Rahul Gandhi in discussion again


Ajay Kumar

New Strategy Just earlier than the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, when the nation noticed a grand experiment in opposition mobilization, its title was ‘India Alliance’.

This experiment was for sure an enormous one. Bringing 26 main opposition events underneath one roof was no small feat. But its largest tragedy was that it might by no means discover any universally accepted face or management. ‘Who will grow to be the groom of the opposition?’

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This countless discord saved hollowing the very basis of the alliance. If Nitish Kumar is made the convenor, Mamata Banerjee vetoes it, however there is no such thing as a consensus on the title of Rahul Gandhi. The consequence was that the scattered opposition remained confined to the forts of their respective states, which the BJP is demolishing one after the other. Today, as opposition stalwarts are one after the other failing on the electoral board, Congress’s ‘default’ declare concerning Rahul Gandhi has as soon as again come alive with full drive.

The latest assertion of Telangana Chief Minister Revanth Reddy is a mirrored image of this narrative. He has declared Rahul Gandhi because the ‘prime-challenger’ of 2029 and stated that Congress will first agree on this matter with its allies. Revanth’s idea is fascinating. They see the victory of Congress in the defeat of Left and regional satraps. The irony is that these are the identical events which until yesterday had been the companions of Congress in ‘India Alliance’ and right this moment are dying in their respective states after getting trapped in the maze of BJP.

Mamata Banerjee’s defeat in West Bengal is the newest instance of this. TMC had saved the fort in the Lok Sabha, however because the meeting elections approached, all their methods fell flat in entrance of the social engineering of the BJP. BJP received 206 seats right here, whereas TMC slipped beneath 100. Mamata Banerjee herself misplaced from Bhawanipur seat by greater than 15 thousand votes. Marginalized Congress might have gotten two seats there, however it’s relieved that TMC’s monopoly in Bengal has now ended.

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Arvind Kejriwal, who worn out Congress from Delhi and Punjab, had the dream of changing into the ‘third possibility’. In the Delhi Assembly elections in February 2025, BJP returned to energy after 27 years and gave a crushing defeat to the Aam Aadmi Party. In the 70-member meeting, BJP received 48 seats, whereas AAP was decreased to 22 seats. Congress right this moment could be glad on the arithmetic that no matter land it loses will finally fall into the arms of Congress. Nitish Kumar had made nationwide excursions to tie the opposition collectively earlier than 2024, however even earlier than his management was established in central politics, the mistrust of his allies made him lose floor. In the Bihar Assembly elections in 2025, NDA obtained an awesome majority and BJP emerged as the most important celebration.

Now just one wall is left, Akhilesh Yadav. He is a posh puzzle for Rahul Gandhi. The problem is as a result of he’s the undisputed hero of the nation’s largest political state, Uttar Pradesh. This is similar UP which stopped the BJP’s chariot and disadvantaged it of majority in 2024. Akhilesh is the one chief of the opposition right this moment who has the infallible power of the core ‘Muslim-Yadav’ votebank, a powerful group and he’s combating straight eye to eye with the Yogi-Modi duo. Whatever Sanjivani Congress obtained in UP in 2024, all the credit score for it goes to Akhilesh’s account.

Despite this bitter reality, it’s a matter of aid for Rahul Gandhi that the Samajwadi Party by no means adopted the angle of ‘conceitedness and contempt’ in the direction of him which Mamata Banerjee confirmed in Bengal. Akhilesh himself is struggling to return to energy in UP, therefore he doesn’t need to open any new entrance with Congress for the Delhi race. The actual take a look at might be in 2027. If Akhilesh wins UP in 2027, he’ll emerge on the nationwide horizon as a frontrunner of a lot greater stature than Rahul Gandhi. They are making ready for 2027 and claiming that Samajwadi authorities goes to be shaped in UP subsequent 12 months. But if he fails, Rahul Gandhi will grow to be the ‘unopposed challenger’ for 2029.

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The tragedy of regional events is that their relevance is just to the ability of their state, whereas for Congress, ‘Brand Rahul’ is way above the revenue and loss of victory or defeat of the states. By successful 99 seats in 2024, Congress celebrated as if the nation’s oldest celebration had returned to its previous glory. But this phantasm was quickly damaged. The pudding of victory was prepared in Haryana, however factionalism of Congress and micro-planning of BJP turned the tables. After this an countless collection of defeats began. Congress slipped to the bottom place in Maharashtra and Bihar. The solely good factor was that its sturdy allies RJD, Uddhav Shiv Sena and Sharad Pawar’s NCP couldn’t save themselves.

When the DMK ship began sinking in Tamil Nadu, the intelligent Congress modified sides in time and jumped onto the brand new ship of energy with 5 MLAs. Recently DMK has introduced breaking the alliance with Congress and demanded to sit down individually in the Lok Sabha. The 20 12 months previous relationship between DMK and Congress has fully ended. The most fascinating and contradictory side of the entire image is that the situations throughout the nation have gotten favorable for the Congress, however the Congress has no energy of its personal in this sport.

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The floor on which Chief Minister Revanth Reddy is expressing satisfaction over the elimination of regional events and the Left has been received not by the Congress however by the BJP. Nitish in Bihar, Mamata in Bengal, Kejriwal in Delhi and if the state of affairs stays the identical, then Akhilesh in Uttar Pradesh in 2027. BJP is eradicating all the interior rivals of Rahul one after the other. The backside line is that if Rahul Gandhi’s hopes relaxation extra on BJP’s aggressive expansionist coverage than on the power of his group, then it is vitally harmful. PM Modi himself is eradicating the thorns from Rahul Gandhi’s path. That is, the glory of making Rahul Gandhi the only real Sultan of the opposition will, albeit unknowingly, be bestowed upon the BJP. The future of the opposition now is determined by Akhilesh Yadav and the 2027 UP elections. This is the maze of politics.

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